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MACROVoices Interview: OPEC Production Cut, Crude Oil Outlook

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Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Art Berman to MacroVoices. Erik and Art discuss:

  • OPEC’s latest production cut agreement and what it means
  • Production cut being more akin to a floor than a ceiling
  • False conception of cutting production to bring balance to an already-balanced market
  • How excess oil in storage will suppress prices for some time to come
  • Weak demand growth similar to late-2014 won’t support higher prices
  • Resumption of U.S. production in response to higher prices
  • OPEC not being as desperate as portrayed by the media
  • Weakening global economy as the main driver for low oil prices

 

 

 

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Oil Basics & The Limits to Economic Growth

Oil Basics & The Limits to Economic Growth,” a presentation to the Reality 101 Honors Seminar, University of Minnesota, October 31, 2016.

oil-basics-and-the-limits-to-economic-growth

Slide Presentation–Low Oil Prices in a Failing Global Economy: Nowhere to Go for Tight Oil

Houston Geological Society North American Group Dinner Presentation. Click the link below to view the slide presentation:

hgs-joint-north-american-group-general-group-dinner-26-sept-2016

Video–Low Oil Prices in A Failing Economy & No Place to Go For Tight Oil

A presentation to the Houston Geological Society September 26, 2016. Click the link below to view the video:

Low Oil Prices In A Failing Economy: No Place to Go For Tight Oil

MacroVoices: Art Berman Labor Day Weekend Oil Special

MacroVoices: Art Berman: Labor Day Weekend Oil Special

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Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Art Berman to MacroVoices. Erik and Art discuss:

  • Looking beyond absolute inventory numbers and gleaning insights from comparative inventories
  • Recent anomalous comparative builds relative to historic trends
  • Continued time-spread compression reflecting producer hedging or lack of concern for a storage crisis
  • The selective capital raising environment for producers
  • Oil market balance and Saudi Arabia’s fundamentally ineffectual ‘production freeze’
  • Stabilizing US production and evaporation of upside price catalysts
  • Feedback loop of insanity in inventory builds and production
  • Claims of sub-$40 producers in the Permian basin
  • Concerns over consumption growth not aligning with change in prices
  • Timing for a moonshot in oil prices following a period of supply destruction and investment deficits

 

 

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