Energy Contrarian

Requiem For An Oil Glut

By Art Berman | February 10, 2026

The story of a big oil glut is based on some of the worst analysis I’ve seen in years. I wrote that six months ago, and it’s as true today…

Why Analysts Misjudge Oil’s Future

By Art Berman | June 3, 2025

The dominant view that oil will remain oversupplied well into 2026 is starting to crack. For months, the consensus has warned of a looming glut—blaming weak demand, slow growth, and…

The Energy Transition That Isn’t

By Art Berman | March 3, 2025

When people talk about the energy transition, they mean replacing fossil fuels with renewables. The real shift is using less energy. Daniel Yergin argues this isn’t a transition but an energy addition—renewables are…

Peak Oil: Requiem for a Failed Paradigm

By Art Berman | February 3, 2025

Peak Oil was supposed to be a warning. When world production peaked, shortages, soaring prices, and economic collapse would follow. Twenty years ago, Matt Simmons made that case in Twilight in…

Trump’s Bold Energy Gamble: It’s Not What You Think

By Art Berman | January 29, 2025

Trump’s latest “drill, baby, drill” plan gets plenty of contempt but little investigation—a sure path to ignorance. Skeptics say it’ll fail because oil companies aren’t interested. They’re focused on shareholder…

The Energy March of Folly

By Art Berman | January 10, 2025

Are world leaders clueless, energy blind, staging political theater—or all of the above? The Biden administration has announced new rules to restrict certain natural gas water heaters, aiming to cut…

This Is How Oil Ends

By Art Berman | October 15, 2024

The era of cheap oil ended two decades ago, when the average price jumped from $35 in the 1990s to over $90 since 2000. The peak oil movement understood that…

A Tipping Point for Global Population and Economic Growth: What it Means for Oil

By Art Berman | October 9, 2024

The global economy is predicated on growth, but that era is ending. Global fertility rates have tanked since the 1960s, dropping from around 5 kids per woman to just 2.3…

The Looming Shift: Oil Markets Signal a Structural Phase-Change

By Art Berman | September 9, 2024

We are witnessing a fundamental shift in oil markets, a structural phase-change. Oil prices hit their lowest point last week since June 2022, when the market was gripped by fears…

Tom Steyer’s Impossible Dream of A Renewable Future

By Art Berman | August 29, 2024

Tom Steyer has an impossible dream.  “We are going to electrify the planet…We’re going to get off fossil fuels.” Tom Steyer He’s written a book called Cheaper, Faster, Better: How…

Markets Are Unconcerned About Oil Supply

By Art Berman | August 15, 2024

Many oil analysts believe that global oil supplies are tight, but markets don’t agree with them. In fact, markets haven’t indicated any signs of scarcity since the energy shocks that…

A Critical Juncture for Oil Prices

By Art Berman | August 1, 2024

Events in the Middle East suggest far more than the “challenging days ahead” mentioned by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Iran was humiliated by a security failure that allowed the…