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THEY’RE NOT MAKING OIL LIKE THEY USED TO: STEALTH PEAK OIL?

The good news is that U.S. oil production has recovered to pre-pandemic levels. The bad news is that only 60% of it is really oil.- click here.

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WHO IS ART? WHY SHOULD I CARE?

Oil and gas markets fascinate me. I am a working petroleum geologist.  I also have a degree in Middle Eastern history. That gives me a completely different perspective than other analysts.

I love unraveling the complex factors that drive markets and prices. I look at everything but comparative inventory is the cornerstone of my approach. That’s a real difference from my peers. It’s also why I get oil and gas markets right more often than most. Work with me and I’ll help you make better investment decisions based on realistic price calls

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Strategize for the future

I’m always thinking about how new data will affect prices. Because I’m in the oil and gas business, I understand costs and their economic implications better than most. I can help whether you’re a trader looking fora . quick win or an investor looking for longer-term position.

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I would like to take your understanding of oil and gas deeper. It’s really about being positioned to act when markets shift. That requires both insight and historical context. My analytical methods are different and powerful. Let my insight and expertise help drive you to investment success.

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Markets are complex but do not need to be complicated. I know how to give you information in a way that is easy to understand. Let me do the hard work of integrating the data so you can spend your time making decisions.

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COMPARATIVE INVENTORY & OIL STORAGE REPORT FEBRUARY 1, 2023 (2023-5)

There are no bullish fundamentals for oil. WTI is in contango. Inventories are approaching the 5-yr avg. Futures are below the 100- & the 50-day avgs. C.I. indicates WTI is at least $7.50 over-priced.

COMPARATIVE INVENTORY & GAS STORAGE REPORT JANUARY 26, 2023 (2023-4)

Forecasts suggest a cooler early February so I expect prices to increase somewhat. I suspect that price will remain discounted by at least 10% below the implied clearing price of $3.80.

COMPARATIVE INVENTORY & OIL STORAGE REPORT JANUARY 25, 2023 (2023-4)

Oil-price discovery excursions often last for weeks or even months before exuberant expectations of counter-parties intersect with market fundamentals.

COMPARATIVE INVENTORY & GAS STORAGE REPORT JANUARY 19, 2023 (2023-3)

U.S. LNG exports increased 600 mmcf/d to 12.3 bcf/d and Mexico exports rose 500 mmcf/d to 5.4 bcf/d.

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